Fans of Newcastle United are more and more viewing the team's squad as an inconsistent companion. On their day, they can be the undisputed life of the party, delivering breathtaking displays. Yet, at other times, key players like their midfield linchpin and others completely do not show up.
Compounding these problems is a second-half approach laced with a pronounced tendency of disorganization. Ahead of their trip to Manchester United, the facts paint a sobering picture: the team has squandered 13 crucial top-flight leverage from leading situations this season and are yet to keep a shutout in 10 straight matches in every tournament. Claiming a win at Old Trafford would constitute only their second-ever league triumph on the travel this year.
Conversely, defeat has been tasted on one occasion in their most recent 6 league fixtures, and despite sitting in a seemingly lowly eleventh place, they remain a mere 6 marks away from the coveted Champions League places. Add in an upcoming two-part Carabao Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a decent opportunity of advancing to the Champions League last 16, and it becomes easier to appreciate the manager's measured optimism.
“Our issues aren't limited to difficulties,” said the club's boss. “You can see assets as well. I am very much half full at present. I know everybody else could have a opposing opinion, but my belief is we are improving.”
The question remains: can this squad recapture – or even eclipse – the successes of last season's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Managing a hectic schedule makes this difficult.
This tiredness might explain the failure to maintain a stellar first-half performance versus their London rivals, ultimately squandering a 2-0 lead to tie 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the explanation for a lackluster performance in a damaging loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side appeared off the pace just days after a tough European excursion.
While coaching is clearly the manager's specialty, the relentless grind of twice-weekly matches has radically reduced essential practice hours. This impedes the squad's stylistic adjustment to operating with new striker their number nine leading the line, rather than the departed their former star. Although extremely skilled, the German forward has not shown the same blistering breakaway pace or intense pressing.
In fact, the team's signature pressing game has sporadically broken down. Injuries to crucial cog Joelinton have been a factor, while big-money signings Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have struggled settling since their combined £90m+ moves.
While a change to a three-man defense might theoretically benefit the cause, a worsening defensive injury crisis makes that unlikely. First-choice defenders will be missing for the next crucial matches, challenging the team's resilience.
When playing at their ferocious peak, they appear almost unstoppable. The catch is sustaining that level for the full match. The often-seen plan B of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive shape has at times been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea game descended into anarchic at two-all,” said the coach. “But the intention was going for the victory. We always try to secure the three points.”
What seems called for is a pragmatic solution – involving superior possession retention, a midfield capable of slowing the pace, and a sensible willingness to sometimes accept a draw. However, a desire to compete on all competitions is testing finite squad options to their limit.
This might appear unthinkable to some, but a different approach in the domestic cups earlier could have eased the present schedule congestion. Amid vital Champions League and league matches on the agenda, the imperative to carefully prioritize is becoming increasingly clear.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the magnitude of the challenge ahead. “When you're at this club, the expectations are enormous. Every moment's crucial. We have work to do in the league. We are in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we aim to go through in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have plenty of work to do to transform into the consistently winning side we want to be. The ability to string together winning runs has eluded us this season.
“The objective is to attain those levels we know we're capable of. The internal belief is that the self-belief we can do that is growing. But nowadays we have to prove it. It's not all doom and gloom right now, but the next few weeks will determine a lot.”
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